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This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

MAY 2004 KEY POINTS

Trend

The trend estimate for sales of total new motor vehicles increased 0.5% to 79,327 in May 2004 compared with April 2004. The trend estimate for total new motor vehicle sales has recorded an increase for each month since the beginning of 2004.

An increase of 3.9% was recorded in the trend estimate for total new motor vehicle sales in May 2004 compared with May 2003.

Sales of new passenger vehicles recorded an increase in the trend estimate of 0.1% in May 2004 compared with April 2004. The trend estimate for sales of other vehicles increased by 1.2% in May 2004 compared with April 2004.

Most states and territories recorded an increase in the trend estimate for sales of total new motor vehicles in May 2004 compared with April 2004. The exceptions were South Australia and the Australian Capital Territory, both recording a fall of 0.1% in May 2004 compared with April 2004.

Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of total new motor vehicles increased by 2.1% to 79,209 in May 2004 compared with April 2004.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of total new motor vehicles increased by 3.1% in May 2004 compared with May 2003. Passenger vehicle sales decreased by 4.3% and other vehicle sales increased by 17.2% over the twelve month period to May 2004.


NOTES

TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information see Explanatory Notes 9 and 10.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

		Passenger vehicles (No.)	Other vehicles (No.)	Total vehicles (No.)	Change Passenger vehicles (%)	Change Other vehicles (%)	Change Total vehicles (%)
Original
2003	March	49,921	26,192	76,113	14.3	13.6	14.1
	April	44,602	24,263	68,865	-10.7	-7.4	-9.5
	May	49,646	28,616	78,262	11.3	17.9	13.6
	June	57,086	34,972	92,058	15.0	22.2	17.6
	July	51,450	28,071	79,521	-9.9	-19.7	-13.6
	August	49,869	26,304	76,173	-3.1	-6.3	-4.2
	September	51,749	26,042	77,791	3.8	-1.0	2.1
	October	52,180	27,045	79,225	0.8	3.9	1.8
	November	48,482	27,630	76,112	-7.1	2.2	-3.9
	December	49,834	27,952	77,786	2.8	1.2	2.2
2004	January	40,715	24,082	64,797	-18.3	-13.8	-16.7
	February	47,876	28,001	75,877	17.6	16.3	17.1
	March	53,728	32,318	86,046	12.2	15.4	13.4
	April	44,079	27,226	71,305	-18.0	-15.8	-17.1
	May	46,168	32,111	78,279	4.7	17.9	9.8
Seasonally Adjusted
2003	March	48,361	25,661	74,022	3.4	3.0	3.2
	April	49,128	26,512	75,640	1.6	3.3	2.2
	May	50,220	26,573	76,793	2.2	0.2	1.5
	June	50,332	27,212	77,544	0.2	2.4	1.0
	July	49,798	27,740	77,538	-1.1	1.9	0.0
	August	51,170	27,204	78,374	2.8	-1.9	1.1
	September	53,097	27,643	80,740	3.8	1.6	3.0
	October	49,164	27,704	76,868	-7.4	0.2	-4.8
	November	48,299	28,211	76,510	-1.8	1.8	-0.5
	December	46,050	27,123	73,173	-4.7	-3.9	-4.4
2004	January	49,394	29,814	79,208	7.3	9.9	8.2
	February	50,113	29,528	79,641	1.5	-1.0	0.5
	March	49,369	29,984	79,353	-1.5	1.5	-0.4
	April	48,205	29,393	77,598	-2.4	-2.0	-2.2
	May	48,066	31,143	79,209	-0.3	6.0	2.1
Trend
2003	March	48,242	25,848	74,090	1.5	1.6	1.5
	April	48,944	26,271	75,215	1.5	1.6	1.5
	May	49,700	26,676	76,376	1.5	1.5	1.5
	June	50,498	27,086	77,584	1.6	1.5	1.6
	July	51,075	27,414	78,489	1.1	1.2	1.2
	August	51,205	27,627	78,832	0.3	0.8	0.4
	September	50,875	27,766	78,641	-0.6	0.5	-0.2
	October	50,270	27,948	78,218	-1.2	0.7	-0.5
	November	49,602	28,191	77,793	-1.3	0.9	-0.5
	December	49,055	28,516	77,571	-1.1	1.2	-0.3
2004	January	48,750	28,920	77,670	-0.6	1.4	0.1
	February	48,704	29,353	78,057	-0.1	1.5	0.5
	March	48,747	29,781	78,528	0.1	1.5	0.6
	April	48,739	30,167	78,906	0.0	1.3	0.5
	May	48,789	30,538	79,327	0.1	1.2	0.5

		NSW (No.)	Vic. (No.)	Qld (No.)	SA (No.)	WA (No.)	Tas. (No.)	NT (No.)	ACT (No.)	Aust. (No.)
Original
2003	March	25,541	20,408	14,843	5,147	6,917	1,218	769	1,270	76,113
	April	23,588	18,368	13,386	4,507	5,948	1,177	728	1,163	68,865
	May	26,259	21,053	14,967	5,273	7,127	1,454	789	1,340	78,262
	June	31,168	24,132	18,084	6,089	8,662	1,549	866	1,508	92,058
	July	26,983	21,248	15,716	5,298	6,973	1,407	635	1,261	79,521
	August	25,391	19,799	15,248	5,263	7,048	1,589	555	1,280	76,173
	September	25,738	21,200	15,293	5,222	6,894	1,639	593	1,212	77,791
	October	25,533	21,337	15,521	5,430	7,487	2,008	607	1,302	79,225
	November	25,099	20,254	15,058	5,214	6,925	1,717	630	1,215	76,112
	December	25,113	21,071	15,265	5,404	7,161	1,860	593	1,319	77,786
2004	January	21,216	16,857	13,403	4,334	6,249	1,193	498	1,047	64,797
	February	24,955	19,727	15,901	5,059	7,113	1,297	686	1,139	75,877
	March	28,118	22,137	18,611	5,561	8,086	1,343	912	1,278	86,046
	April	23,033	19,083	14,831	4,670	6,529	1,229	812	1,118	71,305
	May	25,649	20,106	16,373	5,215	7,296	1,513	918	1,209	78,279
Seasonally Adjusted
2003	March	24,625	20,088	14,453	4,983	6,577	1,347	693	1,256	74,022
	April	25,712	20,281	14,657	5,113	6,522	1,408	689	1,258	75,640
	May	25,723	20,828	14,784	5,098	6,988	1,407	667	1,298	76,793
	June	26,027	21,060	14,615	5,112	7,277	1,493	660	1,300	77,544
	July	25,702	20,732	15,401	5,194	7,132	1,489	649	1,239	77,538
	August	26,324	20,420	15,693	5,330	7,161	1,572	601	1,273	78,374
	September	27,373	21,178	15,883	5,398	7,312	1,617	686	1,293	80,740
	October	24,619	20,068	15,699	5,332	7,270	1,984	635	1,261	76,868
	November	24,738	20,298	15,644	5,248	7,080	1,628	644	1,230	76,510
	December	23,934	19,756	14,333	5,121	6,882	1,268	640	1,239	73,173
2004	January	26,258	20,677	16,269	5,322	7,289	1,524	642	1,227	79,208
	February	26,354	20,826	16,600	5,216	7,180	1,520	741	1,204	79,641
	March	25,907	20,631	16,883	5,205	7,308	1,417	802	1,200	79,353
	April	25,140	20,592	16,238	5,108	7,111	1,449	746	1,214	77,598
	May	25,439	20,628	16,967	5,202	7,500	1,502	778	1,193	79,209
Trend
2003	March	24,894	20,119	14,210	4,991	6,620	1,339	676	1,241	74,090
	April	25,228	20,366	14,489	5,068	6,752	1,374	676	1,262	75,215
	May	25,615	20,588	14,771	5,128	6,908	1,417	671	1,278	76,376
	June	26,036	20,786	15,077	5,185	7,062	1,482	664	1,292	77,584
	July	26,329	20,893	15,338	5,237	7,178	1,557	657	1,300	78,489
	August	26,378	20,878	15,491	5,282	7,230	1,620	651	1,302	78,832
	September	26,214	20,774	15,535	5,305	7,220	1,655	644	1,294	78,641
	October	25,966	20,647	15,544	5,305	7,182	1,653	641	1,280	78,218
	November	25,729	20,541	15,571	5,286	7,142	1,615	647	1,262	77,793
	December	25,564	20,489	15,675	5,255	7,130	1,555	662	1,241	77,571
2004	January	25,516	20,485	15,892	5,225	7,144	1,497	687	1,224	77,670
	February	25,570	20,524	16,185	5,206	7,183	1,460	716	1,213	78,057
	March	25,640	20,590	16,473	5,192	7,235	1,448	744	1,206	78,528
	April	25,666	20,646	16,713	5,180	7,290	1,444	768	1,199	78,906
	May	25,719	20,721	16,911	5,174	7,350	1,467	787	1,198	79,327